Georgie Kelly
Striker 75% of 4 recent starts Rotherham UnitedChampionship 23/24
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Georgie Kelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Georgie Kelly featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City13 Jan | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers1 Jan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sunderland29 Dec | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leicester23 Dec | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Plymouth Argyle16 Dec | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| West Brom12 Dec | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Swansea City9 Dec | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Hull City28 Nov | 77 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Watford11 Nov | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ipswich7 Nov | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Georgie Kelly have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Georgie Kelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Georgie Kelly average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Georgie Kelly is averaging 0.45 shots on target and 2.25 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Georgie Kelly get booked?
Georgie Kelly is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Georgie Kelly commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Georgie Kelly commits 2.25 fouls per 90 and wins 2.70 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Georgie Kelly?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Georgie Kelly plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.