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Championship · 25/26
IS

Ismaïla Sarr

Forward · Watford · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ismaïla Sarr has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 39 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.73
80%Hot8 of 10
1.84
80%Hot8 of 10
1.47
50%5 of 10
0.73
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Watford vs Southampton
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ismaïla Sarr featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Stoke City8 May 85 2 2 1 3 0
@ Sunderland29 Apr 82 0 0 1 2 0
@ Hull City22 Apr 90 1 2 1 2 0
Cardiff City19 Apr 90 2 4 0 1 0
Bristol City15 Apr 76 1 2 2 1 0
@ Coventry City10 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 0
Huddersfield Town7 Apr 33 0 1 0 1 0
@ Luton1 Apr 25 0 0 0 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers11 Mar 77 0 1 1 1 0
Preston North End4 Mar 87 0 2 0 1 0
Officials on record
David Webb 4 games · Ismaïla Sarr never booked 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
Josh Smith 4 games · Ismaïla Sarr never booked 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
Gavin Ward 3 games · Ismaïla Sarr never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
James Linington 3 games · Ismaïla Sarr never booked 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Ismaïla Sarr have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ismaïla Sarr has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Ismaïla Sarr average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Ismaïla Sarr is averaging 0.73 shots on target and 1.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ismaïla Sarr get booked?

Ismaïla Sarr is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ismaïla Sarr commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ismaïla Sarr commits 0.73 fouls per 90 and wins 1.47 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ismaïla Sarr?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Ismaïla Sarr plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.