Joe Ward
Full-back 67% of 30 recent starts Derby CountyChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Joe Ward has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Joe Ward in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 30 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe WardDerby County | 6 | 0.74 | 0.50 |
| Zak SwansonPortsmouth | 7 | 0.38 | 0.58 |
| Amadou Salif MbengueQueens Park Rangers | 9 | 1.14 | 0.81 |
| Oliver SonneBurnley | 7 | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Eric BocatStoke City | 8 | 1.71 | 0.43 |
| Joel BaganCardiff City | 8 | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| These 5, combined | 0.91 | 0.66 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Joe Ward featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Burnley19 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Birmingham City12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| West Brom9 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Portsmouth1 Sep | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Swansea City29 Aug | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Charlton Athletic15 Aug | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sheffield United2 May | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Norwich21 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oxford United18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Joe Ward have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Joe Ward has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Joe Ward average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Joe Ward is averaging 0.62 shots on target and 1.12 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Joe Ward get booked?
Joe Ward is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Joe Ward commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Joe Ward commits 0.50 fouls per 90 and wins 0.87 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joe Ward?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joe Ward plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.