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Championship · 25/26
JO

Joe Ward

Defender · Derby County · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Joe Ward has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 38 Championship appearances (8 of 38), 1+ total shot in 58%, 1+ foul committed in 24%, 1+ foul won in 42%, and been booked in 8% (3 of 38). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 45 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.30
70%7 of 10
1.20
60%6 of 10
0.90
30%3 of 10
0.30
10%1 of 10
0.10
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Derby County at Charlton Athletic
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Joe Ward featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Sheffield United2 May 90 2 3 0 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers25 Apr 90 0 0 1 3 0
@ Norwich21 Apr 90 1 1 1 1 0
Oxford United18 Apr 90 0 2 0 2 0
@ Southampton11 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 0
Stoke City6 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 0
@ Coventry City3 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 0
Birmingham City21 Mar 90 0 3 0 1 0
@ Portsmouth16 Mar 90 0 1 0 0 1
@ Millwall10 Mar 90 0 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Tom Nield 4 games · Joe Ward never booked 3.95cards/game 0.99×vs league
Anthony Backhouse 3 games · Joe Ward booked in 1 4.48cards/game 1.12×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 3 games · Joe Ward never booked 3.20cards/game 0.80×vs league
Gavin Ward 3 games · Joe Ward never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Joe Ward have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Joe Ward has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 38 Championship appearances (8 of 38). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Joe Ward average?

Across 38 Championship appearances in 25/26, Joe Ward is averaging 0.28 shots on target and 0.95 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Joe Ward get booked?

Joe Ward is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Joe Ward commit or win more fouls?

This season Joe Ward commits 0.28 fouls per 90 and wins 0.64 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joe Ward?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Joe Ward plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.