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Championship 26/27
KY

Kyrell Lisbie

Forward MillwallChampionship 26/27

Next match
Millwall at Preston North End›
Sat 10 OctReferee Benjamin Speedie

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 4 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 4 games

Compared with a Championship forward, 25/26, 3,914 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.43 per 90
25%
1 of 40.8×
1.63MGMEdge
Total shots3.88 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.3×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls won1.72 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.8×
Fouls committed0.86 per 90
50%
2 of 41.1×
Tackles1.72 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 42.2×
0%
0 of 4
Cards0.43 per 90
25%
1 of 42.9×
5.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 4 Championship games, Kyrell Lisbie has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (1 of 4), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 75%, and been booked in 25% (1 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 4

Recent matches

The last 4 games Kyrell Lisbie featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
West Ham19 Sep 9 0 0 1 2 0 1
@ Southampton29 Aug 61 0 2 0 1 1 0
Norwich22 Aug 78 1 5 1 0 1 0
@ Bristol City15 Aug 61 0 2 0 1 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Kyrell Lisbie have a shot on target?

Over the last 4 Championship games, Kyrell Lisbie has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (1 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Kyrell Lisbie average?

Across the last 4 Championship games, Kyrell Lisbie is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 3.88 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Kyrell Lisbie get booked?

Kyrell Lisbie is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Kyrell Lisbie commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 4 games Kyrell Lisbie commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 1.72 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Kyrell Lisbie?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Kyrell Lisbie plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.