Lewis Baker
In 25/26, Lewis Baker has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 17 Championship appearances (4 of 17), 1+ total shot in 65%, 1+ foul committed in 59%, 1+ foul won in 53%, and been booked in 18% (3 of 17). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lewis Baker featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall21 Apr | 59 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham18 Apr | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Derby County6 Apr | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield Wednesday3 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Coventry City8 Nov | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Oxford United4 Nov | 63 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City1 Nov | 90 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Portsmouth25 Oct | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Millwall21 Oct | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Lewis Baker have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Lewis Baker has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 17 Championship appearances (4 of 17). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Lewis Baker average?
Across 17 Championship appearances in 25/26, Lewis Baker is averaging 0.36 shots on target and 1.15 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lewis Baker get booked?
Lewis Baker is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lewis Baker commit or win more fouls?
This season Lewis Baker commits 1.29 fouls per 90 and wins 0.72 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lewis Baker?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lewis Baker plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.