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Championship 26/27
LI

Liam Millar

Winger 77% of 30 recent starts Birmingham CityChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Birmingham City at West Bromwich Albion›
Sat 10 OctReferee Gavin Ward

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.60 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
2.25MGMEdge
Total shots1.67 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
1.17bet365Edge
Fouls won1.31 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.62bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.36 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.73bet365Edge
Tackles0.95 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
14%
1 of 71.2×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.00PPEdge
Goals0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
form only
Assists0.48 per 90
30%
3 of 103.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Liam Millar has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Liam Millar in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Liam MillarBirmingham City 42.24 0.28
Karlan GrantCharlton Athletic 82.08 0.56
Reeco Hackett-FairchildLincoln City 82.22 0.55
Kwame PokuQueens Park Rangers 73.88 0.39
Andre BrooksNorwich City 83.00 1.20
Abu KamaraPortsmouth 71.95 0.90
These 5, combined 2.57 0.74

Recent matches

The last 10 games Liam Millar featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Middlesbrough19 Sep 90 3 4 1 1 1 0
@ Derby County12 Sep 73 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Norwich9 Sep 90 0 3 0 1 3 0
Wolves6 Sep 69 1 1 0 1 0 0
Middlesbrough23 May 63 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Millwall11 May 78 0 0 1 2 2 0
Millwall8 May 69 0 0 0 1 0 0
Norwich2 May 82 0 0 0 2 0 0
@ Charlton Athletic25 Apr 70 0 2 0 2 0 0
@ Leicester21 Apr 72 1 4 1 1 1 0
Officials on record
Josh Smith 8 games Liam Millar booked in 1 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
David Webb 7 games Liam Millar never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Gavin Ward 6 games Liam Millar booked in 2 3.73cards/game 0.93×vs league
Oliver Langford 5 games Liam Millar never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Liam Millar have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Liam Millar has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Liam Millar average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Liam Millar is averaging 0.60 shots on target and 1.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Liam Millar get booked?

Liam Millar is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Liam Millar commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Liam Millar commits 0.36 fouls per 90 and wins 1.31 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Liam Millar?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Liam Millar plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.