Luke Ayling
In 25/26, Luke Ayling has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% of 46 Championship appearances (8 of 46), 1+ total shot in 59%, 1+ foul committed in 46%, 1+ foul won in 74%, and been booked in 24% (11 of 46). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luke Ayling featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Hull City23 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Southampton12 May | 119 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Southampton9 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham2 May | 87 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Watford25 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sheffield Wednesday22 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth11 Apr | 45 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Swansea City6 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Millwall3 Apr | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Luke Ayling have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Luke Ayling has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% of 46 Championship appearances (8 of 46). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Luke Ayling average?
Across 46 Championship appearances in 25/26, Luke Ayling is averaging 0.19 shots on target and 0.92 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luke Ayling get booked?
Luke Ayling is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luke Ayling commit or win more fouls?
This season Luke Ayling commits 0.59 fouls per 90 and wins 1.47 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luke Ayling?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Luke Ayling plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.