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Championship · 25/26
MA

Matheus Martins

Forward · Watford · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Matheus Martins has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 45 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.66
60%6 of 10
2.66
60%6 of 10
2.66
30%3 of 10
1.00
10%1 of 10
0.33
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Watford vs Southampton
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Matheus Martins featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Middlesbrough4 May 35 0 1 0 0 0
Sunderland27 Apr 45 0 0 0 1 0
Hull City20 Apr 8 0 2 0 0 0
@ Southampton13 Apr 28 0 0 0 1 0
@ West Brom1 Apr 16 1 1 1 0 0
@ Birmingham City16 Mar 11 0 0 0 1 0
Coventry City9 Mar 26 0 2 0 2 0
@ Millwall2 Mar 10 1 1 0 0 0
Huddersfield Town24 Feb 31 0 0 1 1 0
@ Norwich13 Feb 61 0 1 1 2 1
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 5 games · Matheus Martins never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Oliver Langford 3 games · Matheus Martins never booked 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Matheus Martins have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Matheus Martins has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Matheus Martins average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Matheus Martins is averaging 0.66 shots on target and 2.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Matheus Martins get booked?

Matheus Martins is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Matheus Martins commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Matheus Martins commits 1.00 fouls per 90 and wins 2.66 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matheus Martins?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Matheus Martins plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.