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Championship 26/27
MI

Millenic Alli

Winger 89% of 28 recent starts Charlton AthleticChampionship 26/27

Next match
Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tom Reeves

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 44 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.36 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
1.83bet365Edge
Total shots1.62 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls won1.44 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Fouls committed1.98 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Tackles1.08 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
20%
2 of 101.7×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Millenic Alli has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Millenic Alli in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Millenic AlliCharlton Athletic 71.95 1.95
Yu HirakawaBristol City 82.13 1.24
Kuryu MatsukiSouthampton 81.63 1.30
Othmane MaammaWatford 81.53 0.96
Rodrigo GomesWolverhampton 71.65 1.10
Reeco Hackett-FairchildLincoln City 82.22 0.55
These 5, combined 1.83 1.04

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Millenic Alli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Cardiff City19 Sep 45 0 0 2 1 1 0
Portsmouth12 Sep 76 1 2 2 0 1 0
Queens Park Rangers9 Sep 2 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Stoke City5 Sep 18 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ West Brom2 Sep 60 0 1 1 0 0 0
Preston North End29 Aug 45 1 2 0 0 0 0
Derby County15 Aug 31 0 0 1 1 1 0
Birmingham City2 May 71 0 2 1 2 1 0
@ Coventry City21 Apr 62 0 0 2 0 0 0
Leicester18 Apr 90 0 1 2 1 1 0
Officials on record
John Busby 4 games Millenic Alli never booked 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
Farai Hallam 3 games Millenic Alli never booked 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league
Tom Nield 3 games Millenic Alli never booked 3.87cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Millenic Alli have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Millenic Alli has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Millenic Alli average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Millenic Alli is averaging 0.36 shots on target and 1.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Millenic Alli get booked?

Millenic Alli is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Millenic Alli commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Millenic Alli commits 1.98 fouls per 90 and wins 1.44 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Millenic Alli?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Millenic Alli plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.