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Championship · 25/26
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Nathan Lowe

Forward · Stoke City · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Lowe has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 24 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.38
50%5 of 10
1.14
40%4 of 10
0.95
60%6 of 10
1.33
20%2 of 10
0.38
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Stoke City vs Swansea City
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nathan Lowe featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Derby County3 May 2 0 0 0 1 0
Queens Park Rangers29 Mar 29 0 0 1 1 0
@ Coventry City8 Mar 9 0 0 0 0 0
Middlesbrough25 Feb 61 0 1 0 1 0
Swansea City15 Feb 10 0 0 1 0 0
@ Bristol City12 Feb 67 0 1 1 0 0
@ Hull City1 Feb 90 1 1 1 2 0
Oxford United25 Jan 90 0 1 2 0 1
@ Portsmouth22 Jan 31 0 0 1 0 1
@ West Brom18 Jan 84 1 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
James Bell 3 games · Nathan Lowe never booked 3.96cards/game 0.99×vs league
Samuel Barrott 3 games · Nathan Lowe never booked 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Nathan Lowe have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Lowe has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Nathan Lowe average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Lowe is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 1.14 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nathan Lowe get booked?

Nathan Lowe is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nathan Lowe commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nathan Lowe commits 1.33 fouls per 90 and wins 0.95 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathan Lowe?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Nathan Lowe plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.