Nathan Lowe
Striker 88% of 8 recent starts Stoke CityChampionship 24/25
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Lowe has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nathan Lowe featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Derby County3 May | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers29 Mar | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Coventry City8 Mar | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Middlesbrough25 Feb | 61 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Swansea City15 Feb | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City12 Feb | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Hull City1 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Oxford United25 Jan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Portsmouth22 Jan | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ West Brom18 Jan | 84 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Championship official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nathan Lowe have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Lowe has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nathan Lowe average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Lowe is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 1.14 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nathan Lowe get booked?
Nathan Lowe is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nathan Lowe commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nathan Lowe commits 1.33 fouls per 90 and wins 0.95 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathan Lowe?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nathan Lowe plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.