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Championship · 25/26
NE

Nestory Irankunda

Forward · Watford · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Nestory Irankunda has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% of 40 Championship appearances (16 of 40), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 68%, and been booked in 32% (13 of 40). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 40 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
60%6 of 10
1.61
90%Hot9 of 10
3.36
90%Hot9 of 10
1.88
70%7 of 10
2.15
40%4 of 10
0.54
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Watford vs Southampton
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nestory Irankunda featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Coventry City2 May 90 3 6 3 1 1
@ Middlesbrough25 Apr 27 0 0 1 0 0
@ West Brom21 Apr 45 0 1 2 2 1
Sheffield United18 Apr 90 1 4 4 3 0
@ Oxford United11 Apr 90 2 3 0 1 1
Charlton Athletic6 Apr 81 4 7 3 1 0
@ Queens Park Rangers3 Apr 57 0 1 0 1 0
Leicester21 Mar 90 1 1 0 2 0
Wrexham17 Mar 72 0 1 2 2 0
@ Stoke City14 Mar 28 1 1 1 1 1
Officials on record
Ben Toner 4 games · Nestory Irankunda booked in 3 4.46cards/game 1.11×vs league
Ruebyn Ricardo 3 games · Nestory Irankunda booked in 2 4.84cards/game 1.21×vs league
Dean Whitestone 3 games · Nestory Irankunda booked in 1 3.41cards/game 0.85×vs league
Stephen Martin 3 games · Nestory Irankunda booked in 1 4.50cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Nestory Irankunda have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Nestory Irankunda has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% of 40 Championship appearances (16 of 40). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Nestory Irankunda average?

Across 40 Championship appearances in 25/26, Nestory Irankunda is averaging 1.06 shots on target and 2.95 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nestory Irankunda get booked?

Nestory Irankunda is averaging 0.57 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nestory Irankunda commit or win more fouls?

This season Nestory Irankunda commits 1.76 fouls per 90 and wins 2.12 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nestory Irankunda?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Nestory Irankunda plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.