Paddy McNair
In 25/26, Paddy McNair has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% of 14 Championship appearances (2 of 14), 1+ total shot in 21%, 1+ foul committed in 43%, 1+ foul won in 64%, and been booked in 14% (2 of 14). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Paddy McNair featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough23 May | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Millwall11 May | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norwich2 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Charlton Athletic25 Apr | 79 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Leicester21 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Birmingham City18 Apr | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Sheffield United11 Apr | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield Wednesday21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham10 Mar | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich3 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Paddy McNair have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Paddy McNair has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% of 14 Championship appearances (2 of 14). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Paddy McNair average?
Across 14 Championship appearances in 25/26, Paddy McNair is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.37 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Paddy McNair get booked?
Paddy McNair is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Paddy McNair commit or win more fouls?
This season Paddy McNair commits 0.98 fouls per 90 and wins 1.47 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Paddy McNair?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Paddy McNair plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.