Sam Smith
In 25/26, Sam Smith has hit 1+ shot on target in 35% of 40 Championship appearances (14 of 40), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 15% (6 of 40). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Sam Smith featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough2 May | 90 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Coventry City26 Apr | 72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Oxford United21 Apr | 71 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stoke City18 Apr | 79 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Birmingham City12 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Southampton7 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Brom3 Apr | 69 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United21 Mar | 89 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Watford17 Mar | 75 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Swansea City13 Mar | 85 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Sam Smith have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Sam Smith has hit 1+ shot on target in 35% of 40 Championship appearances (14 of 40). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Sam Smith average?
Across 40 Championship appearances in 25/26, Sam Smith is averaging 1.08 shots on target and 2.33 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Sam Smith get booked?
Sam Smith is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Sam Smith commit or win more fouls?
This season Sam Smith commits 1.70 fouls per 90 and wins 1.08 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sam Smith?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Sam Smith plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.