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Championship 26/27
TA

Taylor Harwood-Bellis

Centre-back 77% of 30 recent starts Aston VillaChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Aston Villa vs Portsmouth›
Sun 11 OctReferee Adam Herczeg

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.19 per 90
20%
2 of 101.5×
Total shots0.87 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
Fouls won0.97 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Fouls committed0.19 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Tackles0.97 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 8
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.19 per 90
20%
2 of 104.9×
form only
Assists0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 103.7×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Taylor Harwood-Bellis has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Taylor Harwood-Bellis in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 38 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Taylor Harwood-BellisAston Villa 12.00 0.00
Phil NeumannBirmingham City 80.75 1.12
Rob DickieBristol City 71.02 1.31
Chris ForinoBolton Wanderers 60.83 0.33
Luke AylingMiddlesbrough 80.81 0.16
Caleb TaylorMillwall 81.38 0.50
These 5, combined 0.97 0.71

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Taylor Harwood-Bellis featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Watford16 Aug 90 0 2 0 2 2 0
Middlesbrough12 May 120 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Middlesbrough9 May 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Preston North End2 May 90 1 1 0 0 1 0
Ipswich28 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 0 0
Bristol City21 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Swansea City18 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 3 0
Blackburn Rovers14 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
Derby County11 Apr 90 1 2 1 4 0 0
@ Wrexham7 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 2 0
Officials on record
Oliver Langford 9 games Taylor Harwood-Bellis booked in 2 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
David Webb 8 games Taylor Harwood-Bellis booked in 1 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Matt Donohue 8 games Taylor Harwood-Bellis booked in 1 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
James Bell 7 games Taylor Harwood-Bellis booked in 1 3.93cards/game 0.98×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Taylor Harwood-Bellis have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Taylor Harwood-Bellis has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Taylor Harwood-Bellis average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Taylor Harwood-Bellis is averaging 0.19 shots on target and 0.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Taylor Harwood-Bellis get booked?

Taylor Harwood-Bellis is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Taylor Harwood-Bellis commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Taylor Harwood-Bellis commits 0.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Taylor Harwood-Bellis?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Taylor Harwood-Bellis plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.