Tom Watson
In 25/26, Tom Watson has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 12 Championship appearances (0 of 12), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 17%, and been booked in 17% (2 of 12). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Tom Watson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Leicester24 Apr | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City21 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers18 Apr | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Brom10 Apr | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Norwich6 Apr | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich21 Mar | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derby County10 Mar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City7 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Birmingham City25 Feb | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth21 Feb | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Tom Watson have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Tom Watson has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 12 Championship appearances (0 of 12). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Tom Watson average?
Across 12 Championship appearances in 25/26, Tom Watson is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 1.42 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Tom Watson get booked?
Tom Watson is averaging 0.71 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Tom Watson commit or win more fouls?
This season Tom Watson commits 2.49 fouls per 90 and wins 1.07 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tom Watson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Tom Watson plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.