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Championship 26/27
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Tomi Horvat

Attacking midfielder 91% of 11 recent starts Bristol CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Bristol City at Charlton Athletic›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tom Reeves

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 18 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,516 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.35 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
2.40MGMEdge
Total shots2.69 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls won0.90 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed0.67 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Tackles1.35 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
20%
2 of 101.5×
Cards0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
form only
Assists0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Tomi Horvat has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Tomi Horvat in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 15 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tomi HorvatBristol City 31.50 1.50
Callum LangPreston North End 82.42 2.42
Divine MukasaWest Ham United 81.35 0.67
Mateus ManéWolverhampton 73.61 1.08
Jay StansfieldBirmingham City 82.58 1.50
Todd CantwellBlackburn Rovers 81.97 1.27
These 5, combined 2.36 1.39

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tomi Horvat featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Southampton12 Sep 13 0 0 1 0 1 0
Portsmouth29 Aug 22 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Birmingham City22 Aug 25 1 1 0 0 0 0
Stoke City2 May 81 0 2 1 0 1 0
@ Birmingham City25 Apr 90 1 3 0 2 1 0
@ Southampton21 Apr 81 3 4 0 2 0 0
Norwich18 Apr 25 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers11 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 1 0
Sheffield United6 Apr 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Brom21 Mar 45 0 1 1 0 1 1

Frequently asked

How often does Tomi Horvat have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Tomi Horvat has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tomi Horvat average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Tomi Horvat is averaging 1.35 shots on target and 2.69 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tomi Horvat get booked?

Tomi Horvat is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tomi Horvat commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tomi Horvat commits 0.67 fouls per 90 and wins 0.90 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tomi Horvat?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tomi Horvat plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.