Tommy Smith
Full-back 100% of 30 recent starts MiddlesbroughChampionship 23/24
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Tommy Smith has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Tommy Smith featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City21 Oct | 81 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland7 Oct | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cardiff City3 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| @ Watford30 Sep | 54 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Southampton23 Sep | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ West Brom26 Aug | 51 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Coventry City17 May | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Coventry City14 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Coventry City8 May | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Rotherham United1 May | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Tommy Smith have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Tommy Smith has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Tommy Smith average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Tommy Smith is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Tommy Smith get booked?
Tommy Smith is averaging 0.53 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Tommy Smith commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Tommy Smith commits 1.34 fouls per 90 and wins 0.80 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tommy Smith?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tommy Smith plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.