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Championship 23/24
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Yáser Asprilla

Winger 47% of 30 recent starts WatfordChampionship 23/24

Also in: La Liga

Next match
Watford vs Burnley›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andy Madley

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.44 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
Total shots2.61 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.5×
Fouls won0.98 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed1.41 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
Tackles0.76 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
10%
1 of 100.8×
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 102.1×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 102.5×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Yáser Asprilla has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Yáser Asprilla featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Middlesbrough4 May 89 0 3 1 3 0 0
Sunderland27 Apr 89 0 0 1 0 1 0
Hull City20 Apr 90 0 4 0 2 0 0
@ Southampton13 Apr 90 0 3 0 0 2 0
@ Ipswich10 Apr 89 1 3 5 1 1 0
Preston North End6 Apr 90 0 2 1 1 0 1
@ West Brom1 Apr 35 1 1 1 0 0 0
Leeds29 Mar 80 0 1 0 1 0 0
@ Birmingham City16 Mar 89 1 5 4 1 3 1
Coventry City9 Mar 86 1 2 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 7 games Yáser Asprilla never booked 3.73cards/game 0.93×vs league
David Webb 6 games Yáser Asprilla never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Josh Smith 4 games Yáser Asprilla booked in 1 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
Robert Madley 4 games Yáser Asprilla booked in 1 4.33cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Yáser Asprilla have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Yáser Asprilla has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Yáser Asprilla average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Yáser Asprilla is averaging 0.44 shots on target and 2.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Yáser Asprilla get booked?

Yáser Asprilla is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Yáser Asprilla commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Yáser Asprilla commits 1.41 fouls per 90 and wins 0.98 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Yáser Asprilla?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Yáser Asprilla plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.