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Championship · 25/26

Yáser Asprilla

Forward · Watford · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Yáser Asprilla has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.44
90%Hot9 of 10
2.61
60%6 of 10
0.98
60%6 of 10
1.41
20%2 of 10
0.22
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Watford vs Southampton
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Yáser Asprilla featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Middlesbrough4 May 89 0 3 1 3 0
Sunderland27 Apr 89 0 0 1 0 0
Hull City20 Apr 90 0 4 0 2 0
@ Southampton13 Apr 90 0 3 0 0 0
@ Ipswich10 Apr 89 1 3 5 1 0
Preston North End6 Apr 90 0 2 1 1 1
@ West Brom1 Apr 35 1 1 1 0 0
Leeds29 Mar 80 0 1 0 1 0
@ Birmingham City16 Mar 89 1 5 4 1 1
Coventry City9 Mar 86 1 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 7 games · Yáser Asprilla never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
David Webb 6 games · Yáser Asprilla never booked 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
James Linington 4 games · Yáser Asprilla booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
Josh Smith 4 games · Yáser Asprilla booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Yáser Asprilla have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Yáser Asprilla has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Yáser Asprilla average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Yáser Asprilla is averaging 0.44 shots on target and 2.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Yáser Asprilla get booked?

Yáser Asprilla is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Yáser Asprilla commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Yáser Asprilla commits 1.41 fouls per 90 and wins 0.98 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Yáser Asprilla?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Yáser Asprilla plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.