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La Liga 26/27
DI

Diego Llorente

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts Real BetisLa Liga 26/27

Also in: Premier LeagueSerie A

Next match
Real Betis vs Osasuna›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga centre-back, 25/26, 1,827 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.7×
5.00PPEdge
Total shots0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
2.62bet365Edge
Fouls won0.44 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
1.67bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.77 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles1.98 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Diego Llorente has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Diego Llorente in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 23 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Diego LlorenteReal Betis 20.00 0.70
Einar GalileaMálaga CF 60.00 0.96
Aymeric LaporteAthletic Club 60.37 0.56
Andres CastrinSevilla 60.38 0.19
DjenéGetafe 70.00 0.90
Renato VeigaVillarreal 70.43 0.86
These 5, combined 0.24 0.71

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Diego Llorente featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Real Madrid4 Sep 39 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Valencia16 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Levante UD23 May 90 1 1 2 0 1 0
Elche12 May 90 0 0 2 1 3 1
@ Real Sociedad9 May 90 0 0 0 1 4 1
Real Oviedo3 May 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
Real Madrid24 Apr 58 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Osasuna12 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Espanyol4 Apr 90 1 1 0 1 3 0
@ Athletic Club22 Mar 90 0 0 0 1 3 0
Officials on record
Mateo Busquets Ferrer 6 games Diego Llorente booked in 1 5.69cards/game 1.17×vs league
Alejandro Hernandez 4 games Diego Llorente booked in 1 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league
Javier Alberola Rojas 4 games Diego Llorente never booked 3.68cards/game 0.76×vs league
José María Sánchez Martínez 3 games Diego Llorente booked in 1 5.32cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Diego Llorente have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Diego Llorente has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Diego Llorente average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Diego Llorente is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.22 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Diego Llorente get booked?

Diego Llorente is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Diego Llorente commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Diego Llorente commits 0.77 fouls per 90 and wins 0.44 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Diego Llorente?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Diego Llorente plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.