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Serie A 23/24
DI

Diego Llorente

Centre-back 77% of 30 recent starts Real BetisSerie A 23/24

Also in: Premier LeagueLa Liga

Next match
Real Betis at Como›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Fabbri

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 38 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.37 per 90
30%
3 of 102.9×
Total shots0.86 per 90
50%
5 of 101.5×
Fouls won0.98 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Fouls committed1.35 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Tackles0.74 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 102.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Diego Llorente has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

Diego Llorente has no Serie A record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Serie A centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Diego LlorenteReal BetisUEFA Europa League 70.58 2.01
Pablo MaríFiorentina 110.22 1.89
Mariano TroiloParma 210.50 1.49
Marin PongračićFiorentina 350.25 2.13
Diego CarlosParma 270.37 1.80
Abdoulaye NdiayeParma 110.69 1.50
These 5, combined 0.37 1.84

Recent matches

The last 10 games Diego Llorente featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Genoa19 May 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
Juventus5 May 90 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ Udinese25 Apr 1 0 0 0 1 1 0
Bologna22 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 1 1
Lazio6 Apr 90 0 2 1 3 0 0
Sassuolo17 Mar 90 1 2 3 2 0 0
@ Fiorentina10 Mar 90 1 1 3 0 2 0
@ Frosinone18 Feb 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cagliari5 Feb 55 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Salernitana29 Jan 90 0 0 2 1 2 0
Officials on record
Andrea Colombo 5 games Diego Llorente booked in 1 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Marco Guida 4 games Diego Llorente booked in 1 4.14cards/game 0.99×vs league
Fabio Maresca 3 games Diego Llorente booked in 1 5.35cards/game 1.28×vs league
Davide Massa 3 games Diego Llorente never booked 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Diego Llorente have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Diego Llorente has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Diego Llorente average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Diego Llorente is averaging 0.37 shots on target and 0.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Diego Llorente get booked?

Diego Llorente is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Diego Llorente commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Diego Llorente commits 1.35 fouls per 90 and wins 0.98 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Diego Llorente?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Diego Llorente plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.