What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 8 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 331 selections across 79 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 8 Premier League games, Diego Llorente has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 8), 1+ total shot in 62%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 12%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Diego Llorente has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diego LlorenteReal BetisUEFA Europa League | 7 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| Olivier BoscagliBrighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 0.53 | 1.78 |
| Jan Paul van HeckeTottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal | 6 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Harry MaguireManchester United | 6 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Calvin BasseyFulham | 6 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| These 5, combined | 0.84 | 1.28 |
Recent matches
The last 8 games Diego Llorente featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City28 Dec | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leicester20 Oct | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brentford3 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Everton30 Aug | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| @ Brighton27 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Chelsea21 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Southampton13 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Wolves6 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Diego Llorente have a shot on target?
Over the last 8 Premier League games, Diego Llorente has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Diego Llorente average?
Across the last 8 Premier League games, Diego Llorente is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.83 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Diego Llorente get booked?
Diego Llorente is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 8 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Diego Llorente commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 8 games Diego Llorente commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 0.28 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Diego Llorente?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Diego Llorente plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.