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La Liga 26/27
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Iago Aspas

Winger 63% of 30 recent starts Celta VigoLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Celta Vigo at Elche›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga winger, 25/26, 1,345 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.44 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
1.92MGMEdge
Total shots1.54 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.10PPEdge
Fouls won1.54 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.33PPEdge
Fouls committed0.44 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
1.62PPEdge
Tackles0.66 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
11%
1 of 90.9×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
3.75bet365Edge
Goals0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Iago Aspas has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Iago Aspas in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 7 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Iago AspasCelta Vigo 62.40 0.00
Sergio CanalesReal Racing Club 72.31 0.89
Tyrhys DolanEspanyol 71.22 1.75
Álvaro GarcíaRayo Vallecano 71.87 0.85
AntonyReal Betis 75.49 1.20
RaphinhaFC Barcelona 74.05 0.49
These 5, combined 3.01 1.03

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Iago Aspas featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Málaga CF13 Sep 11 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Getafe7 Sep 64 0 1 0 2 1 0
@ Real Sociedad3 Sep 27 1 2 0 0 0 0
Athletic Club30 Aug 45 0 1 0 0 0 0
Osasuna27 Aug 52 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ Valencia23 Aug 26 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sevilla23 May 66 0 0 2 2 1 0
@ Athletic Club17 May 31 0 0 0 2 1 0
Levante UD12 May 66 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Atlético Madrid9 May 22 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 12 games Iago Aspas booked in 3 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league
Alejandro Hernandez 8 games Iago Aspas booked in 5 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league
César Soto Grado 8 games Iago Aspas booked in 2 5.30cards/game 1.09×vs league
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 8 games Iago Aspas booked in 1 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Iago Aspas have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Iago Aspas has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Iago Aspas average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Iago Aspas is averaging 0.44 shots on target and 1.54 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Iago Aspas get booked?

Iago Aspas is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Iago Aspas commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Iago Aspas commits 0.44 fouls per 90 and wins 1.54 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Iago Aspas?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Iago Aspas plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.