Lucas Cepeda
In 25/26, Lucas Cepeda has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of his 10 La Liga appearances (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, and 1+ foul won in 70%. He has been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Cepeda featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe17 May | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Celta Vigo3 May | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlético Madrid22 Apr | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Valencia11 Apr | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Real Madrid14 Mar | 64 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Espanyol1 Mar | 73 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Athletic Club20 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Osasuna13 Feb | 80 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Real Sociedad7 Feb | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| FC Barcelona31 Jan | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Cepeda have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Lucas Cepeda has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of his 10 La Liga appearances (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Lucas Cepeda average?
Across 10 La Liga appearances in 25/26, Lucas Cepeda is averaging 1.11 shots on target and 2.89 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Cepeda get booked?
Lucas Cepeda is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Cepeda commit or win more fouls?
This season Lucas Cepeda commits 1.56 fouls per 90 and wins 2.22 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Cepeda?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lucas Cepeda plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.