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Ligue 1 25/26
AH

Ahmadou Bamba Dieng

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts LorientLigue 1 25/26

Next match
Lorient vs Paris FC›
Sat 10 OctReferee Jérôme Brisard

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.45 per 90
70%
7 of 101.6×
Total shots2.75 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
Fouls won0.72 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Fouls committed0.43 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles0.29 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
10%
1 of 101.0×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.58 per 90
40%
4 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ahmadou Bamba Dieng has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Ahmadou Bamba Dieng in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ahmadou Bamba DiengLorient 223.39 1.11
Odsonne ÉdouardRC Lens 292.97 1.04
Gonçalo RamosParis Saint-Germain 303.95 1.64
Folarin BalogunAS Monaco 303.09 1.72
Amine GouiriOlympique de Marseille 222.58 1.15
Goduine KoyalipouAngers 132.93 0.53
These 5, combined 3.11 1.33

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ahmadou Bamba Dieng featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Le Havre17 May 81 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Metz10 May 16 2 3 0 1 0 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain2 May 72 0 0 0 2 0 0
RC Strasbourg26 Apr 69 1 4 1 1 0 0
Olympique de Marseille18 Apr 75 2 2 0 0 2 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais12 Apr 80 1 2 1 1 0 0
Paris FC5 Apr 67 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Toulouse21 Mar 73 0 1 1 0 0 0
RC Lens14 Mar 64 2 3 0 0 0 0
@ Lille8 Mar 24 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Bastien Dechepy 8 games Ahmadou Bamba Dieng booked in 2 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league
Willy Delajod 8 games Ahmadou Bamba Dieng never booked 3.71cards/game 0.96×vs league
Marc Bollengier 6 games Ahmadou Bamba Dieng booked in 1 3.74cards/game 0.97×vs league
Clement Turpin 5 games Ahmadou Bamba Dieng booked in 1 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ahmadou Bamba Dieng have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ahmadou Bamba Dieng has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ahmadou Bamba Dieng average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ahmadou Bamba Dieng is averaging 1.45 shots on target and 2.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ahmadou Bamba Dieng get booked?

Ahmadou Bamba Dieng is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ahmadou Bamba Dieng commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ahmadou Bamba Dieng commits 0.43 fouls per 90 and wins 0.72 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ahmadou Bamba Dieng?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ahmadou Bamba Dieng plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.