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Ligue 1 · 25/26
AI

Aiyegun Tosin

Forward · Lorient · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Aiyegun Tosin has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 27 Ligue 1 appearances (9 of 27), 1+ total shot in 63%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 41%, and been booked in 4% (1 of 27). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 46 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.92
60%6 of 10
3.05
30%3 of 10
1.22
20%2 of 10
0.61
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Lorient at Nice
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Aiyegun Tosin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Le Havre17 May 23 0 0 0 0 0
@ Metz10 May 74 0 3 0 0 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain2 May 18 2 2 0 1 0
RC Strasbourg26 Apr 21 0 0 0 0 0
Olympique de Marseille18 Apr 15 0 1 0 2 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais12 Apr 17 0 0 0 1 0
Paris FC5 Apr 18 0 1 0 0 0
@ Toulouse21 Mar 17 0 0 1 0 0
RC Lens14 Mar 26 1 1 0 0 0
@ Lille8 Mar 66 0 2 1 0 0
Officials on record
Bastien Dechepy 4 games · Aiyegun Tosin booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.05×vs league
Benoît Bastien 4 games · Aiyegun Tosin never booked 3.99cards/game 1.03×vs league
Gael Angoula 4 games · Aiyegun Tosin never booked 3.27cards/game 0.84×vs league
Abdelatif Kherradji 3 games · Aiyegun Tosin never booked 3.86cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Aiyegun Tosin have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Aiyegun Tosin has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 27 Ligue 1 appearances (9 of 27). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Aiyegun Tosin average?

Across 27 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Aiyegun Tosin is averaging 1.01 shots on target and 2.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Aiyegun Tosin get booked?

Aiyegun Tosin is averaging 0.08 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Aiyegun Tosin commit or win more fouls?

This season Aiyegun Tosin commits 0.93 fouls per 90 and wins 1.18 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aiyegun Tosin?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Aiyegun Tosin plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.