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Ligue 1 26/27
AI

Aiyegun Tosin

Attacking midfielder 48% of 21 recent starts LorientLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Lorient vs Paris FC›
Sat 10 OctReferee Jérôme Brisard

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 48 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 attacking midfielder, 25/26, 771 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.73 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.73bet365Edge
Total shots2.91 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
1.20PPEdge
Fouls won1.46 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed0.36 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Tackles0.36 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.36 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aiyegun Tosin has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Aiyegun Tosin in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Aiyegun TosinLorient 272.53 0.93
Roman YaremchukOlympique Lyonnais 112.57 1.12
Amine GouiriOlympique de Marseille 222.58 1.15
Goduine KoyalipouAngers 132.93 0.53
Olivier GiroudLille 302.27 1.50
Terem MoffiHamburger SV 102.94 0.37
These 5, combined 2.56 1.10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Aiyegun Tosin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Troyes29 Aug 24 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Nice22 Aug 20 0 1 0 0 0 0
Le Havre17 May 23 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Metz10 May 74 0 3 0 0 0 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain2 May 18 2 2 0 1 0 0
RC Strasbourg26 Apr 21 0 0 0 0 0 0
Olympique de Marseille18 Apr 15 0 1 0 2 0 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais12 Apr 17 0 0 0 1 1 0
Paris FC5 Apr 18 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Toulouse21 Mar 17 0 0 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Bastien Dechepy 4 games Aiyegun Tosin booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league
Clement Turpin 3 games Aiyegun Tosin never booked 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Jeremy Stinat 3 games Aiyegun Tosin never booked 3.89cards/game 1.01×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 3 games Aiyegun Tosin never booked 4.35cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Aiyegun Tosin have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aiyegun Tosin has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Aiyegun Tosin average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aiyegun Tosin is averaging 0.73 shots on target and 2.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Aiyegun Tosin get booked?

Aiyegun Tosin is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Aiyegun Tosin commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Aiyegun Tosin commits 0.36 fouls per 90 and wins 1.46 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aiyegun Tosin?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Aiyegun Tosin plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.