Aiyegun Tosin
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 attacking midfielder, 25/26, 771 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aiyegun Tosin has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Aiyegun Tosin in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aiyegun TosinLorient | 27 | 2.53 | 0.93 |
| Roman YaremchukOlympique Lyonnais | 11 | 2.57 | 1.12 |
| Amine GouiriOlympique de Marseille | 22 | 2.58 | 1.15 |
| Goduine KoyalipouAngers | 13 | 2.93 | 0.53 |
| Olivier GiroudLille | 30 | 2.27 | 1.50 |
| Terem MoffiHamburger SV | 10 | 2.94 | 0.37 |
| These 5, combined | 2.56 | 1.10 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Aiyegun Tosin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes29 Aug | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice22 Aug | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Le Havre17 May | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Metz10 May | 74 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain2 May | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Strasbourg26 Apr | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique de Marseille18 Apr | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique Lyonnais12 Apr | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Paris FC5 Apr | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Toulouse21 Mar | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Aiyegun Tosin have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aiyegun Tosin has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Aiyegun Tosin average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Aiyegun Tosin is averaging 0.73 shots on target and 2.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Aiyegun Tosin get booked?
Aiyegun Tosin is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Aiyegun Tosin commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Aiyegun Tosin commits 0.36 fouls per 90 and wins 1.46 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aiyegun Tosin?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Aiyegun Tosin plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.