What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ciro Immobile has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Ciro Immobile in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ciro ImmobileParis FC | 12 | 1.90 | 1.01 |
| Roman YaremchukOlympique Lyonnais | 11 | 2.57 | 1.12 |
| Aiyegun TosinLorient | 27 | 2.53 | 0.93 |
| Sidiki CherifCoventry City | 19 | 2.16 | 1.16 |
| Esteban LepaulAngers | 34 | 2.90 | 0.80 |
| Willem GeubbelsLecce | 24 | 2.65 | 1.68 |
| These 5, combined | 2.64 | 1.05 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ciro Immobile featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Stade Rennais10 May | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Stade Brestois3 May | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lille26 Apr | 69 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Metz19 Apr | 78 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Monaco10 Apr | 75 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Le Havre22 Mar | 73 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg15 Mar | 64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique Lyonnais8 Mar | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nice1 Mar | 70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Toulouse21 Feb | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Ciro Immobile have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ciro Immobile has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ciro Immobile average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ciro Immobile is averaging 0.64 shots on target and 1.93 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ciro Immobile get booked?
Ciro Immobile is averaging 0.32 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ciro Immobile commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ciro Immobile commits 1.29 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ciro Immobile?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ciro Immobile plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.