What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Ciro Immobile has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Ciro Immobile in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 63 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ciro ImmobileBologna | 6 | 0.94 | 3.77 |
| Adam BuksaUdinese | 25 | 1.17 | 2.33 |
| Thijs Dallinga1. FC Köln | 23 | 2.50 | 2.17 |
| Jeff EkhatorJuventus | 30 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Daniel MosqueraHellas Verona | 22 | 2.36 | 3.25 |
| Amin SarrHellas Verona | 34 | 1.57 | 2.07 |
| These 5, combined | 1.84 | 2.27 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ciro Immobile featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Genoa25 Jan | 73 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Hellas Verona15 Jan | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Como10 Jan | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Atalanta7 Jan | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sassuolo28 Dec | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma23 Aug | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sassuolo26 May | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Empoli12 May | 65 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Monza4 May | 65 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Hellas Verona27 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ciro Immobile have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Ciro Immobile has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ciro Immobile average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Ciro Immobile is averaging 1.03 shots on target and 1.81 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ciro Immobile get booked?
Ciro Immobile is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ciro Immobile commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ciro Immobile commits 2.59 fouls per 90 and wins 1.81 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ciro Immobile?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ciro Immobile plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.