What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Emersonn has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Emersonn in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EmersonnIpswich Town | 27 | 3.11 | 2.39 |
| Giorgi KvilitaiaMetz | 10 | 2.15 | 1.97 |
| Ally SamattaLe Havre | 27 | 2.44 | 2.03 |
| Frank MagriToulouse | 17 | 2.35 | 1.99 |
| Lanroy MachineAngers | 22 | 2.62 | 1.57 |
| Jean-Philippe KrassoParis FC | 25 | 2.21 | 1.64 |
| These 5, combined | 2.35 | 1.88 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Emersonn featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Lyonnais10 May | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg3 May | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Monaco25 Apr | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Lens17 Apr | 64 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lille12 Apr | 71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain3 Apr | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Lorient21 Mar | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Metz15 Mar | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Olympique de Marseille7 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stade Rennais28 Feb | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Emersonn have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Emersonn has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Emersonn average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Emersonn is averaging 1.46 shots on target and 2.92 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Emersonn get booked?
Emersonn is averaging 0.42 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Emersonn commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Emersonn commits 2.08 fouls per 90 and wins 0.42 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Emersonn?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Emersonn plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.