Ethan Mbappé
Winger 78% of 9 recent starts LilleLigue 1 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ethan Mbappé has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Ethan Mbappé in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 41 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan MbappéLille | 18 | 2.22 | 1.11 |
| Giorgi AbuashviliMetz | 23 | 2.96 | 1.03 |
| Ibrahim MbayeAston Villa | 24 | 2.17 | 0.90 |
| Eric EbimbeFC Schalke 04 | 27 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| Ibrahim OsmanBrighton & Hove Albion | 14 | 2.57 | 1.00 |
| Rémy CabellaNantes | 11 | 1.41 | 1.10 |
| These 5, combined | 2.23 | 1.19 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ethan Mbappé featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Nice20 Sep | 55 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Troyes13 Sep | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Toulouse3 Sep | 58 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Paris Saint-Germain28 Aug | 68 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Angers23 Aug | 63 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Auxerre17 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AS Monaco10 May | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Le Havre3 May | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Paris FC26 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nice18 Apr | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ethan Mbappé have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ethan Mbappé has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ethan Mbappé average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ethan Mbappé is averaging 1.33 shots on target and 2.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ethan Mbappé get booked?
Ethan Mbappé is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ethan Mbappé commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ethan Mbappé commits 0.89 fouls per 90 and wins 1.77 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ethan Mbappé?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ethan Mbappé plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.