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Ligue 1 · 25/26
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Ethan Mbappé

Midfielder · Lille · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Ethan Mbappé has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 18 Ligue 1 appearances (6 of 18), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 39%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 6% (1 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 31 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.64
40%4 of 10
1.71
50%5 of 10
1.71
60%6 of 10
1.29
10%1 of 10
0.21
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Lille at Angers
Sun 23 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ethan Mbappé featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Auxerre17 May 45 0 0 1 0 0
@ AS Monaco10 May 28 0 0 1 0 0
Le Havre3 May 24 0 0 0 1 0
@ Paris FC26 Apr 12 0 0 0 1 0
Nice18 Apr 34 0 0 0 0 0
@ Toulouse12 Apr 19 1 1 1 2 0
RC Lens4 Apr 10 0 0 1 0 1
RC Strasbourg25 Jan 87 0 4 1 1 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain16 Jan 77 2 2 1 0 0
@ Auxerre14 Dec 84 0 1 0 3 0
Officials on record
Willy Delajod 4 games · Ethan Mbappé never booked 3.71cards/game 0.95×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 3 games · Ethan Mbappé booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.05×vs league
Thomas Leonard 3 games · Ethan Mbappé booked in 1 3.73cards/game 0.96×vs league
Eric Wattellier 3 games · Ethan Mbappé never booked 3.40cards/game 0.87×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Ethan Mbappé have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Ethan Mbappé has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 18 Ligue 1 appearances (6 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Ethan Mbappé average?

Across 18 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Ethan Mbappé is averaging 1.11 shots on target and 2.22 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ethan Mbappé get booked?

Ethan Mbappé is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ethan Mbappé commit or win more fouls?

This season Ethan Mbappé commits 1.11 fouls per 90 and wins 1.43 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ethan Mbappé?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Ethan Mbappé plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.