What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Francisco Sierralta has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Francisco Sierralta in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 57 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco SierraltaAuxerre | 10 | 0.73 | 0.84 |
| Gautier LlorisStade Brestois | 29 | 0.41 | 1.01 |
| Brendan ChardonnetStade Brestois | 29 | 0.42 | 0.99 |
| Bryan OkohAuxerre | 13 | 0.71 | 1.16 |
| Moustapha MbowParis FC | 31 | 0.33 | 0.93 |
| Jérémy JacquetStade Rennais | 19 | 0.59 | 1.08 |
| These 5, combined | 0.45 | 1.01 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Francisco Sierralta featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Angers9 Nov | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| @ RC Strasbourg29 Oct | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Le Havre26 Oct | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Stade Rennais19 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| RC Lens4 Oct | 84 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain27 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Toulouse21 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Nantes30 Aug | 72 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nice23 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Lorient17 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Francisco Sierralta have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Francisco Sierralta has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Francisco Sierralta average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Francisco Sierralta is averaging 0.21 shots on target and 0.73 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Francisco Sierralta get booked?
Francisco Sierralta is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Francisco Sierralta commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Francisco Sierralta commits 0.84 fouls per 90 and wins 0.52 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Francisco Sierralta?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Francisco Sierralta plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.