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Ligue 1 26/27
HA

Habibou Diallo

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts Le MansLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Le Mans at Paris Saint-Germain›
Sat 10 OctReferee Mathieu Vernice

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.38 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Total shots1.54 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
Fouls won1.35 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Fouls committed1.15 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles0.96 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
10%
1 of 101.0×
Cards0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Habibou Diallo has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Habibou Diallo in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Habibou DialloLe Mans 251.79 1.27
Ignatius GanagoNantes 132.35 1.18
Martín SatrianoGetafe 112.05 1.41
Olivier GiroudLille 302.27 1.50
Frank MagriToulouse 172.35 1.99
Sidiki CherifCoventry City 192.16 1.16
These 5, combined 2.25 1.48

Recent matches

The last 10 games Habibou Diallo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Lorient19 Sep 59 2 2 3 1 1 1
RC Lens13 Sep 25 0 0 0 2 2 0
@ Nice5 Sep 29 0 1 1 1 0 0
Lorient10 May 26 0 1 0 0 0 0
AS Monaco2 May 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
Paris FC19 Apr 30 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Olympique de Marseille10 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nantes5 Apr 90 0 3 1 1 0 0
@ Stade Rennais22 Mar 90 0 1 1 2 2 0
Toulouse15 Mar 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Jeremy Stinat 7 games Habibou Diallo booked in 1 3.89cards/game 1.01×vs league
Clement Turpin 6 games Habibou Diallo never booked 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Ruddy Buquet 5 games Habibou Diallo never booked 3.85cards/game 0.99×vs league
Eric Wattellier 4 games Habibou Diallo never booked 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Habibou Diallo have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Habibou Diallo has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Habibou Diallo average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Habibou Diallo is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 1.54 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Habibou Diallo get booked?

Habibou Diallo is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Habibou Diallo commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Habibou Diallo commits 1.15 fouls per 90 and wins 1.35 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Habibou Diallo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Habibou Diallo plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.