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Ligue 1 26/27
IB

Ibrahima Baldé

Striker 100% of 4 recent starts LorientLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Lorient vs Paris FC›
Sat 10 OctReferee Jérôme Brisard

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 5 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 5 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.15 per 90
60%
3 of 51.4×
1.91bet365Edge
Total shots2.87 per 90
100%Hot
5 of 51.4×
1.14PPEdge
Fouls won0.57 per 90
40%
2 of 50.8×
Fouls committed1.43 per 90
60%
3 of 51.1×
Tackles0.57 per 90
40%
2 of 51.3×
0%
0 of 5
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.57 per 90
40%
2 of 52.0×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Ibrahima Baldé has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (3 of 5), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 5

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Ibrahima Baldé in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ibrahima BaldéLorient 24.01 0.57
Ousmane DembéléParis Saint-Germain 223.81 0.25
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo de A Coruña 302.64 0.84
Odsonne ÉdouardRC Lens 292.97 1.04
Esteban LepaulAngers 342.90 0.80
Ahmadou Bamba DiengLorient 223.39 1.11
These 5, combined 3.03 0.83

Recent matches

The last 5 games Ibrahima Baldé featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Le Mans19 Sep 65 0 1 2 0 0 0
Toulouse12 Sep 69 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ RC Lens5 Sep 23 0 1 0 1 0 0
@ Saint-Étienne15 May 72 1 3 1 0 1 0
@ Red Star FC12 May 85 2 4 0 1 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Ibrahima Baldé have a shot on target?

Over the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Ibrahima Baldé has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (3 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ibrahima Baldé average?

Across the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Ibrahima Baldé is averaging 1.15 shots on target and 2.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ibrahima Baldé get booked?

Ibrahima Baldé is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ibrahima Baldé commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 5 games Ibrahima Baldé commits 1.43 fouls per 90 and wins 0.57 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ibrahima Baldé?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ibrahima Baldé plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.