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Ligue 1 · 25/26
MA

Mathieu Cafaro

Midfielder · Paris FC · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Mathieu Cafaro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% of 10 Ligue 1 appearances (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 28 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.57
50%5 of 10
3.96
30%3 of 10
2.26
20%2 of 10
1.13
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Paris FC at Troyes
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mathieu Cafaro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Metz19 Apr 8 0 1 0 0 0
@ RC Strasbourg15 Mar 1 0 0 0 0 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain4 Jan 22 0 1 0 0 0
Auxerre29 Nov 20 0 1 0 0 0
@ Lille23 Nov 60 0 0 1 2 0
Stade Rennais7 Nov 10 0 0 0 0 0
@ Nice28 Sep 8 0 0 0 1 0
RC Strasbourg21 Sep 11 0 0 1 1 0
Metz31 Aug 1 0 1 0 0 0
@ Angers17 Aug 18 1 3 0 0 0
Officials on record
Benoît Millot 4 games · Mathieu Cafaro never booked 3.94cards/game 1.01×vs league
François Letexier 4 games · Mathieu Cafaro never booked 4.27cards/game 1.10×vs league
Marc Bollengier 3 games · Mathieu Cafaro booked in 2 3.76cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Mathieu Cafaro have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Mathieu Cafaro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% of 10 Ligue 1 appearances (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Mathieu Cafaro average?

Across 10 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Mathieu Cafaro is averaging 0.57 shots on target and 3.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mathieu Cafaro get booked?

Mathieu Cafaro is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mathieu Cafaro commit or win more fouls?

This season Mathieu Cafaro commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 2.26 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathieu Cafaro?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mathieu Cafaro plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.