Mathieu Cafaro
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Mathieu Cafaro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Mathieu Cafaro in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 42 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu CafaroParis FC | 10 | 3.96 | 1.13 |
| Martial GodoRC Strasbourg | 28 | 2.29 | 0.84 |
| Jonathan IkonéParis FC | 23 | 2.04 | 1.06 |
| Romain FaivreAuxerre | 10 | 1.69 | 0.77 |
| Ibrahim MbayeAston Villa | 24 | 2.17 | 0.90 |
| Malick FofanaOlympique Lyonnais | 12 | 2.23 | 1.29 |
| These 5, combined | 2.13 | 0.96 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mathieu Cafaro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Metz19 Apr | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg15 Mar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain4 Jan | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Auxerre29 Nov | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lille23 Nov | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Rennais7 Nov | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice28 Sep | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Strasbourg21 Sep | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Metz31 Aug | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Angers17 Aug | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mathieu Cafaro have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Mathieu Cafaro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mathieu Cafaro average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Mathieu Cafaro is averaging 0.57 shots on target and 3.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mathieu Cafaro get booked?
Mathieu Cafaro is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mathieu Cafaro commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mathieu Cafaro commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 2.26 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathieu Cafaro?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mathieu Cafaro plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.