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Ligue 1 · 25/26
MA

Matías Fernández-Pardo

Forward · Lille · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Matías Fernández-Pardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 62% of 29 Ligue 1 appearances (18 of 29), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 41%, 1+ foul won in 86%, and been booked in 17% (5 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
80%Hot8 of 10
1.13
100%Hot10 of 10
2.66
90%Hot9 of 10
1.54
30%3 of 10
0.41
10%1 of 10
0.10
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Lille at Angers
Sun 23 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Matías Fernández-Pardo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Auxerre17 May 90 1 2 0 3 0
@ AS Monaco10 May 90 0 1 2 1 1
Le Havre3 May 90 0 1 0 1 0
@ Paris FC26 Apr 83 1 3 0 2 0
Nice18 Apr 89 1 1 1 2 0
@ Toulouse12 Apr 90 3 5 0 1 0
RC Lens4 Apr 80 2 6 1 1 0
@ Olympique de Marseille22 Mar 90 1 3 0 0 0
@ Stade Rennais15 Mar 90 1 1 0 3 0
Lorient8 Mar 87 1 3 0 1 0
Officials on record
Mathieu Vernice 5 games · Matías Fernández-Pardo booked in 2 4.40cards/game 1.13×vs league
Benoît Bastien 5 games · Matías Fernández-Pardo booked in 1 3.99cards/game 1.03×vs league
Eric Wattellier 5 games · Matías Fernández-Pardo never booked 3.40cards/game 0.87×vs league
Willy Delajod 5 games · Matías Fernández-Pardo never booked 3.71cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Matías Fernández-Pardo have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Matías Fernández-Pardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 62% of 29 Ligue 1 appearances (18 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Matías Fernández-Pardo average?

Across 29 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Matías Fernández-Pardo is averaging 1.13 shots on target and 2.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Matías Fernández-Pardo get booked?

Matías Fernández-Pardo is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Matías Fernández-Pardo commit or win more fouls?

This season Matías Fernández-Pardo commits 0.57 fouls per 90 and wins 1.51 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matías Fernández-Pardo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Matías Fernández-Pardo plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.