What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Matías Fernández-Pardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Matías Fernández-Pardo in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matías Fernández-PardoLille | 29 | 2.57 | 0.57 |
| Amine GouiriOlympique de Marseille | 22 | 2.58 | 1.15 |
| Sidiki CherifCoventry City | 19 | 2.16 | 1.16 |
| Odsonne ÉdouardRC Lens | 29 | 2.97 | 1.04 |
| Lassine SinayokoParis FC | 32 | 2.98 | 0.94 |
| Esteban LepaulAngers | 34 | 2.90 | 0.80 |
| These 5, combined | 2.80 | 0.97 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Matías Fernández-Pardo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre17 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AS Monaco10 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Le Havre3 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Paris FC26 Apr | 83 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nice18 Apr | 89 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Toulouse12 Apr | 90 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Lens4 Apr | 80 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille22 Mar | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Stade Rennais15 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Lorient8 Mar | 87 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Matías Fernández-Pardo have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Matías Fernández-Pardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Matías Fernández-Pardo average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Matías Fernández-Pardo is averaging 1.13 shots on target and 2.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Matías Fernández-Pardo get booked?
Matías Fernández-Pardo is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Matías Fernández-Pardo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Matías Fernández-Pardo commits 0.41 fouls per 90 and wins 1.54 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matías Fernández-Pardo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matías Fernández-Pardo plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.