What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 3 games
Compared with a Premier League midfielder, 25/26, 4,546 appearances
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Over the last 3 Premier League games, Matías Fernández-Pardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 3), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 67%, 1+ foul won in 67%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Matías Fernández-Pardo has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matías Fernández-PardoLilleUEFA Europa League | 11 | 2.13 | 0.99 |
| Alexander IsakLiverpool FC | 14 | 2.14 | 0.63 |
| Danny WelbeckChelsea | 37 | 2.22 | 1.19 |
| Callum WilsonBrentford | 32 | 2.71 | 0.86 |
| Chris WoodNottingham Forest | 15 | 2.28 | 0.60 |
| Viktor GyökeresArsenal | 36 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| These 5, combined | 2.30 | 1.07 |
Recent matches
The last 3 games Matías Fernández-Pardo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City19 Sep | 74 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Leeds14 Sep | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bournemouth5 Sep | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Matías Fernández-Pardo have a shot on target?
Over the last 3 Premier League games, Matías Fernández-Pardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Matías Fernández-Pardo average?
Across the last 3 Premier League games, Matías Fernández-Pardo is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Matías Fernández-Pardo get booked?
Matías Fernández-Pardo is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Matías Fernández-Pardo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 3 games Matías Fernández-Pardo commits 1.14 fouls per 90 and wins 1.14 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matías Fernández-Pardo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matías Fernández-Pardo plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.