What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, M'bala Nzola has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
M'bala Nzola has no Ligue 1 record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Ligue 1 strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| M'bala NzolaCagliariSerie A | 30 | 2.31 | 1.72 |
| Ally SamattaLe Havre | 27 | 2.44 | 2.03 |
| Sidiki CherifCoventry City | 19 | 2.16 | 1.16 |
| Olivier GiroudLille | 30 | 2.27 | 1.50 |
| Ignatius GanagoNantes | 13 | 2.35 | 1.18 |
| Frank MagriToulouse | 17 | 2.35 | 1.99 |
| These 5, combined | 2.32 | 1.62 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games M'bala Nzola featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade de Reims11 Apr | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lille30 Mar | 90 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Rennais15 Mar | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nantes23 Feb | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| RC Strasbourg16 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice8 Feb | 82 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Montpellier31 Jan | 89 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Angers26 Jan | 81 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Paris Saint-Germain18 Jan | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre12 Jan | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does M'bala Nzola have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, M'bala Nzola has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does M'bala Nzola average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, M'bala Nzola is averaging 1.02 shots on target and 2.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does M'bala Nzola get booked?
M'bala Nzola is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does M'bala Nzola commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games M'bala Nzola commits 2.04 fouls per 90 and wins 0.58 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for M'bala Nzola?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. M'bala Nzola plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.