What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Serie A games, M'bala Nzola has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to M'bala Nzola in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| M'bala NzolaCagliari | 30 | 2.31 | 1.72 |
| Santiago CastroAS Roma | 35 | 2.40 | 1.33 |
| Roberto PiccoliBologna | 32 | 2.49 | 1.80 |
| Nikola ŠtulićLecce | 34 | 1.72 | 1.93 |
| Gaetano OristanioTorino | 20 | 2.52 | 1.37 |
| Walid CheddiraSassuolo | 33 | 2.38 | 1.95 |
| These 5, combined | 2.28 | 1.66 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games M'bala Nzola featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Parma24 May | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lecce17 May | 63 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Torino8 May | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| AC Milan3 May | 84 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fiorentina26 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Como17 Apr | 76 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Cagliari4 Apr | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Juventus21 Mar | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bologna15 Mar | 31 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Lazio9 Mar | 68 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does M'bala Nzola have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, M'bala Nzola has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does M'bala Nzola average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, M'bala Nzola is averaging 0.91 shots on target and 2.28 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does M'bala Nzola get booked?
M'bala Nzola is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does M'bala Nzola commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games M'bala Nzola commits 2.06 fouls per 90 and wins 1.60 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for M'bala Nzola?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. M'bala Nzola plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.