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Ligue 1 24/25
NE

Neil El Aynaoui

Central midfielder 87% of 30 recent starts RB LeipzigLigue 1 24/25

Also in: Serie ABundesliga

Next match
RB Leipzig at Troyes›
Sat 17 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 49 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 central midfielder, 25/26, 2,122 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.85 per 90
70%
7 of 103.8×
Total shots1.28 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
Fouls won2.03 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 102.0×
Fouls committed2.03 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
Tackles2.24 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.4×
22%
2 of 92.3×
Cards0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
Goals0.64 per 90
50%
5 of 109.6×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neil El Aynaoui has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

Neil El Aynaoui has no Ligue 1 record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Ligue 1 central midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Neil El AynaouiRB LeipzigUEFA Europa League 90.88 1.26
Kévin DanoisAuxerre 330.79 1.05
Cristian Cásseres Jr.Toulouse 300.94 1.40
Johann LepenantNantes 270.87 1.24
Valentin RongierStade Rennais 310.72 1.57
Pierre Lees MelouParis FC 241.42 1.37
These 5, combined 0.92 1.33

Recent matches

The last 10 games Neil El Aynaoui featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
AS Monaco17 May 88 2 2 2 2 1 0
@ Toulouse10 May 90 1 2 3 2 1 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais4 May 90 0 0 1 2 1 0
Auxerre27 Apr 55 0 1 0 1 1 0
@ Stade Brestois20 Apr 90 1 2 3 1 2 0
Saint-Étienne6 Apr 90 1 2 1 3 5 0
@ Lille30 Mar 90 1 1 4 2 1 1
Stade Rennais15 Mar 90 0 0 4 1 4 1
@ Olympique de Marseille8 Mar 90 1 1 1 4 4 0
Le Havre1 Mar 70 1 1 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
François Letexier 5 games Neil El Aynaoui never booked 4.22cards/game 1.09×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 4 games Neil El Aynaoui booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.12×vs league
Eric Wattellier 3 games Neil El Aynaoui booked in 1 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league
Bastien Dechepy 3 games Neil El Aynaoui never booked 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Neil El Aynaoui have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neil El Aynaoui has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Neil El Aynaoui average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Neil El Aynaoui is averaging 0.85 shots on target and 1.28 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Neil El Aynaoui get booked?

Neil El Aynaoui is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Neil El Aynaoui commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Neil El Aynaoui commits 2.03 fouls per 90 and wins 2.03 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Neil El Aynaoui?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Neil El Aynaoui plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.