What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Theo Bair has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Theo Bair in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Theo BairBolton Wanderers | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Habibou DialloLe Mans | 25 | 1.79 | 1.27 |
| Mika BierethAS Monaco | 32 | 1.54 | 1.30 |
| Ignatius GanagoNantes | 13 | 2.35 | 1.18 |
| Mostafa MohamedNantes | 24 | 2.69 | 1.38 |
| Jean-Philippe KrassoParis FC | 25 | 2.21 | 1.64 |
| These 5, combined | 2.07 | 1.35 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Theo Bair featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers29 Aug | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nantes30 Aug | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lorient17 Aug | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nantes10 May | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Le Havre4 May | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RC Lens27 Apr | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lille20 Apr | 66 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais13 Apr | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montpellier30 Mar | 45 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nice14 Mar | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Theo Bair have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Theo Bair has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Theo Bair average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Theo Bair is averaging 0.34 shots on target and 3.05 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Theo Bair get booked?
Theo Bair is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Theo Bair commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Theo Bair commits 0.68 fouls per 90 and wins 0.68 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Theo Bair?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Theo Bair plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.