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Ligue 1 · 25/26
TH

Theo Bair

Forward · Auxerre · Ligue 1 25/26

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Theo Bair has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 31 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
1.12
50%5 of 10
3.08
20%2 of 10
0.56
30%3 of 10
1.40
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Auxerre at RC Lens
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Theo Bair featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Nantes30 Aug 11 0 0 0 0 0
Lorient17 Aug 12 0 0 0 0 0
Nantes10 May 2 0 0 0 0 0
Le Havre4 May 8 0 0 0 0 0
@ RC Lens27 Apr 16 1 3 0 0 0
@ Lille20 Apr 66 0 1 1 0 0
Olympique Lyonnais13 Apr 24 0 1 0 0 0
Montpellier30 Mar 45 0 3 1 1 0
@ Nice14 Mar 63 0 0 0 1 0
@ Stade de Reims9 Mar 74 3 3 3 0 0
Officials on record
Marc Bollengier 5 games · Theo Bair booked in 1 3.76cards/game 0.97×vs league
Jeremy Stinat 4 games · Theo Bair never booked 3.92cards/game 1.01×vs league
Gael Angoula 3 games · Theo Bair never booked 3.27cards/game 0.84×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 3 games · Theo Bair never booked 4.40cards/game 1.13×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Theo Bair have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Theo Bair has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Theo Bair average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Theo Bair is averaging 1.12 shots on target and 3.08 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Theo Bair get booked?

Theo Bair is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Theo Bair commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Theo Bair commits 1.40 fouls per 90 and wins 0.56 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Theo Bair?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Theo Bair plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.