Premier League · 24/25

Leicester v Arsenal

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leicester0 – 2 Arsenal 15 Feb 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Raheem Sterling	shots total	1+	97%	1	✓
Leandro Trossard	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Ethan Nwaneri	shots total	1+	88%	4	✓
Martin Ødegaard	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Jordan Ayew	fouls drawn	1+	86%	2	✓
Mikel Merino	shots total	1+	83%	2	✓
Mikel Merino	fouls committed	1+	81%	0	✗
Jordan Ayew	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗
Mikel Merino	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Raheem Sterling	fouls committed	1+	78%	1	✓
Declan Rice	shots total	1+	77%	1	✓
Wilfred Ndidi	fouls committed	1+	76%	0	✗
Myles Lewis-Skelly	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	52%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	39%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	25%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Leicester & Arsenal player stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Arsenal players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works