Premier League · 24/25

Leicester v Tottenham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leicester1 – 1 Tottenham 19 Aug 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
James Maddison	fouls drawn	1+	100%	1	✓
Dominic Solanke	shots total	1+	96%	3	✓
James Maddison	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Son Heung-min	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Bobby De Cordova-Reid	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Brennan Johnson	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	83%	2	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls committed	1+	80%	0	✗
Rodrigo Bentancur	shots total	1+	79%	3	✓
Bobby De Cordova-Reid	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Pedro Porro	shots total	1+	77%	1	✓
Destiny Udogie	fouls committed	1+	76%	4	✓
Rodrigo Bentancur	fouls committed	1+	75%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	65%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	65%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	25%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Leicester & Tottenham player stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Tottenham players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works