What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ansu Fati has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable attacking midfielders
Ansu Fati has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Ligue 1 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League attacking midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ansu FatiAS MonacoLigue 1 | 25 | 3.56 | 0.75 |
| Eli Junior KroupiBournemouth | 33 | 2.77 | 1.44 |
| Cole PalmerChelsea | 26 | 2.93 | 0.60 |
| Eberechi EzeArsenal | 33 | 2.98 | 0.76 |
| Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest | 37 | 2.40 | 0.75 |
| Rayan CherkiManchester City | 33 | 2.76 | 0.85 |
| These 5, combined | 2.73 | 0.85 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ansu Fati featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man Utd19 May | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Chelsea15 May | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Burnley13 Apr | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal6 Apr | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest10 Mar | 60 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Fulham2 Mar | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton24 Feb | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United18 Feb | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham10 Feb | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace3 Feb | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ansu Fati have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ansu Fati has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ansu Fati average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Ansu Fati is averaging 1.53 shots on target and 4.98 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ansu Fati get booked?
Ansu Fati is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ansu Fati commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ansu Fati commits 0.77 fouls per 90 and wins 1.91 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ansu Fati?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ansu Fati plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.