What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ben Davies has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Ben Davies in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 66 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben DaviesTottenham Hotspur | 3 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Cristian RomeroAtlético Madrid | 23 | 0.82 | 1.54 |
| Malick ThiawNewcastle United | 35 | 0.85 | 0.73 |
| Chadi RiadCrystal Palace | 9 | 0.65 | 0.81 |
| Joško GvardiolManchester City | 18 | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Daniel BallardSunderland | 29 | 1.09 | 1.22 |
| These 5, combined | 0.93 | 1.07 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ben Davies featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham17 Jan | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sunderland4 Jan | 88 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest14 Dec | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Brighton25 May | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Aston Villa16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace11 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ West Ham4 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Liverpool27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest21 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Wolves13 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ben Davies have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ben Davies has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ben Davies average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Ben Davies is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 0.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ben Davies get booked?
Ben Davies is averaging 0.55 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ben Davies commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ben Davies commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 0.55 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ben Davies?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ben Davies plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.