What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Carlos Baleba has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Carlos Baleba in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos BalebaManchester United | 31 | 1.07 | 1.66 |
| Nico GonzálezNewcastle United | 25 | 0.80 | 1.71 |
| Will HughesCrystal Palace | 31 | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace | 31 | 0.99 | 1.30 |
| Pape Matar SarrJuventus | 26 | 1.09 | 1.87 |
| Adam WhartonCrystal Palace | 34 | 1.12 | 1.23 |
| These 5, combined | 1.01 | 1.45 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Carlos Baleba featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man Utd24 May | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Leeds17 May | 82 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves9 May | 76 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle2 May | 80 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Chelsea21 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Burnley11 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liverpool21 Mar | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal4 Mar | 78 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest1 Mar | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brentford21 Feb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Carlos Baleba have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Carlos Baleba has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Carlos Baleba average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Carlos Baleba is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 1.51 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Carlos Baleba get booked?
Carlos Baleba is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Carlos Baleba commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Carlos Baleba commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 1.69 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carlos Baleba?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Carlos Baleba plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.