What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Douglas Luiz has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Douglas Luiz in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas LuizJuventus | 21 | 1.05 | 1.24 |
| Jacob RamseyNewcastle United | 28 | 0.98 | 0.98 |
| Andrey SantosManchester United | 27 | 0.77 | 0.91 |
| Reece JamesChelsea | 29 | 1.01 | 1.24 |
| Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace | 31 | 0.99 | 1.30 |
| Curtis JonesInter | 34 | 1.06 | 0.78 |
| These 5, combined | 0.98 | 1.05 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Douglas Luiz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Man City24 May | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Liverpool15 May | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Burnley10 May | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Fulham25 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Nottingham Forest12 Apr | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham22 Mar | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd15 Mar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chelsea4 Mar | 63 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wolves27 Feb | 60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Leeds21 Feb | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Douglas Luiz have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Douglas Luiz has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Douglas Luiz average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Douglas Luiz is averaging 0.75 shots on target and 0.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Douglas Luiz get booked?
Douglas Luiz is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Douglas Luiz commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Douglas Luiz commits 1.24 fouls per 90 and wins 1.24 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Douglas Luiz?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Douglas Luiz plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.