SharpXI is in beta — updated daily. Spot something off? Tell us →In beta — updated daily. Tell us →
SharpXI© Join the waitlist
Premier League · 25/26
DO

Douglas Luiz

Midfielder · Aston Villa · Premier League 25/26

In 25/26, Douglas Luiz has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of his 21 Premier League appearances (5 of 21), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 48%, and 1+ foul won in 43%. He has been booked in 14% (3 of 21). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.75
30%3 of 10
0.75
50%5 of 10
1.24
30%3 of 10
1.24
10%1 of 10
0.25
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Aston Villa at Brighton & Hove Albion
Sun 23 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Douglas Luiz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Man City24 May 73 0 0 0 1 0
Liverpool15 May 9 0 0 0 0 0
@ Burnley10 May 10 1 1 0 0 0
@ Fulham25 Apr 16 0 0 1 1 1
@ Nottingham Forest12 Apr 13 0 0 0 1 0
West Ham22 Mar 23 0 0 0 0 0
@ Man Utd15 Mar 8 0 0 0 0 0
Chelsea4 Mar 63 1 1 2 0 0
@ Wolves27 Feb 60 1 1 2 1 0
Leeds21 Feb 87 0 0 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Douglas Luiz have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Douglas Luiz has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of his 21 Premier League appearances (5 of 21). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Douglas Luiz average?

Across 21 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Douglas Luiz is averaging 0.48 shots on target and 1.05 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Douglas Luiz get booked?

Douglas Luiz is averaging 0.29 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Douglas Luiz commit or win more fouls?

This season Douglas Luiz commits 1.24 fouls per 90 and wins 1.43 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Douglas Luiz?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Douglas Luiz plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.