Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
JA

James Tarkowski

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts EvertonPremier League 26/27

Next match
Everton at Hull City›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Salisbury

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 102.3×
4.00MGMEdge
Total shots0.90 per 90
70%
7 of 102.0×
1.67PPEdge
Fouls won1.20 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
1.44bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.90 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
1.67bet365Edge
Tackles2.20 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
5.00PPEdge
Goals0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 105.6×
form only
Assists0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 1010.3×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, James Tarkowski has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to James Tarkowski in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
James TarkowskiEverton 370.57 0.86
Jan Paul van HeckeBrighton & Hove Albion 360.64 0.76
Marc GuéhiManchester City 350.91 0.71
Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal 320.88 0.69
Ibrahima KonatéLiverpool FC 360.35 0.96
Maxence LacroixCrystal Palace 350.70 0.99
These 5, combined 0.69 0.82

Recent matches

The last 10 games James Tarkowski featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Ipswich19 Sep 90 0 1 0 3 1 0
@ Tottenham12 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 5 0
Man Utd6 Sep 90 0 1 0 0 3 0
@ Bournemouth29 Aug 90 1 1 1 3 1 0
Crystal Palace22 Aug 90 0 1 0 2 1 0
@ Tottenham24 May 90 0 1 2 0 1 1
Sunderland17 May 90 1 1 2 1 4 0
@ Crystal Palace10 May 90 1 3 1 0 3 0
Man City4 May 90 0 0 1 1 1 1
@ West Ham25 Apr 90 0 0 2 2 2 1
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 16 games James Tarkowski booked in 5 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 14 games James Tarkowski booked in 2 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
John Brooks 13 games James Tarkowski booked in 2 4.59cards/game 1.12×vs league
Craig Pawson 13 games James Tarkowski booked in 1 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does James Tarkowski have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, James Tarkowski has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does James Tarkowski average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, James Tarkowski is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.90 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does James Tarkowski get booked?

James Tarkowski is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does James Tarkowski commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games James Tarkowski commits 0.90 fouls per 90 and wins 1.20 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for James Tarkowski?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. James Tarkowski plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.