Mateo Kovačić
Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts Man CityPremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Mateo Kovačić has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Mateo Kovačić in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 87 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo KovačićManchester City | 6 | 1.34 | 0.00 |
| Ao TanakaLeeds United | 28 | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| Curtis JonesInter | 34 | 1.06 | 0.78 |
| Kobbie MainooManchester United | 28 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| James Ward-ProwseSouthampton | 18 | 0.41 | 0.65 |
| Mathias JensenBrentford | 36 | 1.15 | 0.79 |
| These 5, combined | 0.94 | 0.77 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mateo Kovačić featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Crystal Palace28 Aug | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth23 Aug | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aston Villa24 May | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth19 May | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace13 May | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Everton4 May | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea12 Apr | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton18 Oct | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth20 May | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Southampton10 May | 84 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mateo Kovačić have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Mateo Kovačić has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mateo Kovačić average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Mateo Kovačić is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 1.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mateo Kovačić get booked?
Mateo Kovačić is averaging 0.28 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mateo Kovačić commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mateo Kovačić commits 0.28 fouls per 90 and wins 1.38 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mateo Kovačić?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mateo Kovačić plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.