Nathan Collins
Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts BrentfordPremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nathan Collins has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Nathan Collins in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan CollinsBrentford | 35 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| Trevoh ChalobahComo | 34 | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| Joe RodonLeeds United | 35 | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| Micky van de VenTottenham Hotspur | 35 | 0.47 | 0.83 |
| Lewis DunkBrighton & Hove Albion | 33 | 0.76 | 0.47 |
| Jaka BijolLeeds United | 25 | 0.71 | 0.89 |
| These 5, combined | 0.59 | 0.66 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nathan Collins featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland5 Sep | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leeds30 Aug | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Tottenham22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool24 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Crystal Palace17 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man City9 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| West Ham2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Fulham18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nathan Collins have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nathan Collins has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nathan Collins average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Nathan Collins is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 1.20 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nathan Collins get booked?
Nathan Collins is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nathan Collins commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nathan Collins commits 0.65 fouls per 90 and wins 0.54 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathan Collins?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nathan Collins plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.