Rayan Aït-Nouri
Wing-back 60% of 30 recent starts Man CityPremier League 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League wing-back, 25/26, 312 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Rayan Aït-Nouri has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Rayan Aït-Nouri in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Aït-NouriManchester City | 17 | 0.92 | 1.57 |
| Mats WiefferBrighton & Hove Albion | 26 | 0.85 | 1.41 |
| Kenny TeteFulham | 22 | 0.80 | 1.35 |
| Álex JiménezFiorentina | 31 | 0.81 | 1.35 |
| Ian MaatsenAston Villa | 30 | 1.11 | 0.95 |
| Jurriën TimberArsenal | 30 | 0.92 | 1.39 |
| These 5, combined | 0.89 | 1.31 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Rayan Aït-Nouri featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa24 May | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace13 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Burnley22 Apr | 65 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea12 Apr | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ West Ham14 Mar | 60 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest4 Mar | 77 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Leeds28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Newcastle21 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Fulham11 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool8 Feb | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Rayan Aït-Nouri have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Rayan Aït-Nouri has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Rayan Aït-Nouri average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Rayan Aït-Nouri is averaging 0.26 shots on target and 0.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Rayan Aït-Nouri get booked?
Rayan Aït-Nouri is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Rayan Aït-Nouri commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Rayan Aït-Nouri commits 1.69 fouls per 90 and wins 1.04 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rayan Aït-Nouri?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rayan Aït-Nouri plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.