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Premier League · 25/26
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Serge Aurier

Defender · Nottingham Forest · Premier League 25/26

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Serge Aurier has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, and 1+ foul won in 50%. He has been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 36 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.14
40%4 of 10
0.69
50%5 of 10
0.69
70%7 of 10
1.10
10%1 of 10
0.14
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Serge Aurier featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Everton2 Dec 90 0 1 1 0 0
@ West Ham12 Nov 14 0 1 0 0 0
Aston Villa5 Nov 19 0 0 0 0 0
@ Liverpool29 Oct 90 0 0 1 1 0
Luton21 Oct 88 0 1 1 1 0
@ Crystal Palace7 Oct 45 1 2 1 0 0
Brentford1 Oct 90 0 0 0 1 0
@ Man City23 Sep 56 0 0 1 0 0
@ Chelsea2 Sep 72 0 0 1 1 0
@ Man Utd26 Aug 90 0 0 2 1 1

Frequently asked

How often does Serge Aurier have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Serge Aurier has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Serge Aurier average?

Across his last 10 Premier League games, Serge Aurier is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 0.69 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Serge Aurier get booked?

Serge Aurier is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Serge Aurier commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Serge Aurier commits 1.10 fouls per 90 and wins 0.69 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Serge Aurier?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Serge Aurier plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.